井盖商家暗(an)降出货情况频(pin)繁
市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)商家(jia)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)货(huo)套现(xian)(xian)意(yi)愿明(ming)(ming)(ming)(ming)显增(zeng)强(qiang),普遍(bian)报价(jia)走跌(die)(die),且多(duo)地(di)(di)(di)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)货(huo)议价(jia)的(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)(kong)间也稍有增(zeng)大(da),暗降(jiang)十分普遍(bian)。资(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)面(mian)(mian),南钢(gang)(gang)(gang)近期碳(tan)合结钢(gang)(gang)(gang)生(sheng)产(chan)量极(ji)少,钢(gang)(gang)(gang)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)主要生(sheng)产(chan)建材(cai)、铬钼钢(gang)(gang)(gang)等(deng)(deng),市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)资(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)稀缺, 广富、壶井(jing)、巨能(neng)等(deng)(deng)钢(gang)(gang)(gang)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)或(huo)(huo)检修或(huo)(huo)停(ting)产(chan),山东本(ben)周(zhou)整体(ti)钢(gang)(gang)(gang)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)库存也较上(shang)周(zhou)下降(jiang)明(ming)(ming)(ming)(ming)显,除(chu)此之(zhi)外,华(hua)东多(duo)地(di)(di)(di)随着(zhe)长期的(de)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)货(huo)不(bu)畅(chang),库存积压(ya)(ya)明(ming)(ming)(ming)(ming)显,去(qu)库存操作多(duo)占据主导。而(er)需(xu)求(qiu)面(mian)(mian)的(de)持(chi)续弱势,也使得(de)商家(jia)对(dui)后市看(kan)空(kong)(kong)(kong)(kong)心态(tai)浓(nong)重。北方市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)本(ben)周(zhou)各个(ge)钢(gang)(gang)(gang)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)结算(suan)价(jia)陆续出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)台,虽市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)价(jia)格(ge)整体(ti)跌(die)(die)幅相(xiang)对(dui)不(bu)大(da),但由于(yu)(yu)现(xian)(xian)今价(jia)格(ge)已处于(yu)(yu)底部空(kong)(kong)(kong)(kong)间,商家(jia)多(duo)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)货(huo)为(wei)主。从影响(xiang)工(gong)(gong)业线(xian)材(cai)市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)因(yin)素来看(kan),下周(zhou)多(duo)空(kong)(kong)(kong)(kong)胶着(zhe)。宏(hong)观方面(mian)(mian),为(wei)消化高库存,石(shi)家(jia)庄(zhuang)等(deng)(deng)多(duo)地(di)(di)(di)开(kai)始推行(xing)住房贷款"商转公(gong)"政策,为(wei)房地(di)(di)(di)产(chan)回暖(nuan)再(zai)添助(zhu)力(li)(li)。此外,本(ben)周(zhou)发改委(wei)又批复了逾80亿的(de)公(gong)路项(xiang)目(mu),继续为(wei)实现(xian)(xian)稳增(zeng)长的(de)目(mu)标(biao)添砖(zhuan)加瓦(wa)。然(ran)而(er)被利好(hao)充盈的(de)市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)并没有出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)现(xian)(xian)喜人(ren)景象,钢(gang)(gang)(gang)材(cai)市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)依然(ran)在(zai)疲软、低迷中徘徊,价(jia)格(ge)处于(yu)(yu)盘整下行(xing)通道(dao),冷拉(la)方钢(gang)(gang)(gang)似乎没有止跌(die)(die)反弹的(de)迹象。需(xu)求(qiu)不(bu)足,供给(ji)过剩成(cheng)为(wei)常态(tai),可以预见短期国内钢(gang)(gang)(gang) 材(cai)市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)还尚(shang)难回暖(nuan),价(jia)格(ge)大(da)幅上(shang)涨行(xing)情(qing)很(hen)难出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)现(xian)(xian)。而(er)进入6月份(fen)后钢(gang)(gang)(gang)材(cai)市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)逐(zhu)(zhu)渐进入需(xu)求(qiu)淡季(ji),加上(shang)今年雨(yu)(yu)水天(tian)气明(ming)(ming)(ming)(ming)显增(zeng)多(duo),市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)更(geng)显清淡,因(yin)为(wei)资(zi)(zi)金的(de)压(ya)(ya)力(li)(li),一些(xie)终端项(xiang)目(mu)暂(zan)停(ting)施(shi)工(gong)(gong),或(huo)(huo)推迟施(shi)工(gong)(gong)工(gong)(gong)期。市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)方面(mian)(mian),目(mu)前整体(ti)依然(ran)呈现(xian)(xian)供需(xu)两(liang)弱态(tai)势,由于(yu)(yu)生(sheng)产(chan)成(cheng)本(ben)已经出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)现(xian)(xian)倒挂,小(xiao)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)资(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)投(tou)放量明(ming)(ming)(ming)(ming)显减(jian)(jian)少,而(er)大(da)厂(chang)(chang)(chang)资(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)下月打(da)折,后期市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)供应压(ya)(ya)力(li)(li)或(huo)(huo)将逐(zhu)(zhu)步(bu)减(jian)(jian)小(xiao),不(bu)过鉴于(yu)(yu)本(ben)周(zhou)后期受阴雨(yu)(yu)天(tian)气影响(xiang),井(jing)盖商家(jia)暗降(jiang)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)货(huo)情(qing)况频(pin)繁,加之(zhi)期螺走势震荡下行(xing),市场(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)观望情(qing)绪(xu)滋生(sheng)。下周(zhou)整体(ti)来看(kan)主流偏弱,整体(ti)波动空(kong)(kong)(kong)(kong)间20-50元/吨左右。结构钢(gang)(gang)(gang)行(xing)情(qing)预判及操作建议。